Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000585 0.000672 0.000765 0.000871 0.000987 0.001112 0.001256
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000437 0.000554 0.000689 0.000853 0.001047 0.001266 0.001533
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000366 0.000497 0.000654 0.000854 0.001100 0.001389 0.001751
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000316 0.000456 0.000632 0.000864 0.001159 0.001516 0.001975
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000266 0.000406 0.000590 0.000842 0.001172 0.001583 0.002125
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000224 0.000362 0.000550 0.000817 0.001177 0.001636 0.002254
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000196 0.000335 0.000530 0.000815 0.001209 0.001721 0.002425
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000174 0.000311 0.000512 0.000813 0.001239 0.001805 0.002595
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000152 0.000286 0.000489 0.000802 0.001255 0.001868 0.002737
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000131 0.000261 0.000464 0.000785 0.001261 0.001915 0.002858
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000122 0.000252 0.000462 0.000802 0.001315 0.002030 0.003073
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000112 0.000242 0.000458 0.000815 0.001362 0.002137 0.003278
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000222 0.000436 0.000799 0.001367 0.002185 0.003405
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000203 0.000413 0.000780 0.001367 0.002224 0.003521
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000191 0.000404 0.000782 0.001397 0.002308 0.003702
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000183 0.000399 0.000791 0.001438 0.002408 0.003907
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000167 0.000378 0.000771 0.001432 0.002437 0.004010
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000152 0.000356 0.000747 0.001419 0.002456 0.004096
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000143 0.000346 0.000745 0.001440 0.002525 0.004259
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000135 0.000338 0.000744 0.001462 0.002596 0.004425
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000125 0.000325 0.000733 0.001468 0.002643 0.004555
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.000115 0.000310 0.000717 0.001464 0.002672 0.004658
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000029 0.000113 0.000311 0.000733 0.001515 0.002791 0.004901